Friday, 1 October 2010

Bonjour Longchamp! un vainqueur s'il vous plaît

The racing calender turns its attention across the channel to Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. Granted this is not the strongest renewal. It lacks the depth and class which we have become accustomed to, last year was a particularly good race and saw Sea of the Stars, arguably the best ever winner of the race storm home from a seemingly impossible position. Sea of the Stars was favourite that day and duly obliged, this year the 7/2 favourite  is Behkabad which to me looks too short. Workforce is 2nd favourite, undoubtedly a good horse given its a derby winner, it looks a little inconsistent for me to put her up in a race like this especially at 11/2. The value for me is with Aidan O'Brien's Cape Blanco. Blanco ticks most of the boxes for an arc winner and if there is a bit of pace in the ground will have an outstanding chance. She is priced around 11/1 so is well worth and Each Way shout and should go close.

1st Bet: Arc De Triomph
Cape Blanco @ 12.00
3.5 Points E/W- 7 point bet

Sunday sees an all London clash at the bridge when Arsenal travel west to play Chelsea in the highlight of the weeks Premier League action. Chelsea have a fantastic  recent record against the gunners and last weeks form can be chalked off as both teams won convincingly in the Champions League midweek. Fabregas wont play on Sunday which means Arsenal may struggle to contain Chelsea's robust midfield. Drogba is also due a big game after going missing at Eastlands and subsequently being taken off. Chelsea are 8/11 against Arsenal and I will put it in a 4 fold along with Man City, Huddersfield and Rangers to give me odds of 6.38.

2nd Bet: Football 4 fold
Chelsea
Man City
Huddersfield
Rangers
3 Points @ 6.38

The Ryder cup is now under way, but as of today (Friday) not much has happened. The Europeans marginally look to be handling the conditions better and in my opinion will win it with a couple of points in hand. This will be the first 'major' trophy Monty has won, so he best enjoy it as it is almost definitely the only one! Europe are 8/11 to win so will up the usual stake for this kind of bet to 8 points.

3rd Bet: Ryder Cup Outright
Europe to win overall
8 points on the win @ 1.73

Well I'm off to the Grand Final at Old Trafford. Enjoy your weekend and hope we can get into some profit after this weekend!


Blog Profit/Loss update
-41.69






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